Daily Football Predictions – May 23, 2026 | Spain La Liga

Today's best football predictions. Detailed analysis for 1 matches.

Predictions by Goalii.app – AI-powered football analysis

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao

Spain La Liga • 2026-05-23T22:00:00 at 22:00 UTC

Match Analysis Summary

Analysis Type	OVER 15
Probability	82%
Confidence Level	Grade C

Analysis

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Bilbao has 82% Over 1.5 probability

We calculated the Over 1.5 (2+ goals) probability at 82.0% for this match.

Real Madrid at home has an expected goals average of 2.09, while Athletic Club Bilbao away has 1.27 xG. Total expected goals: 3.36.

Head-to-head Over 1.5 rate: 50%. Average goals in H2H: 1.5.

Grade C (Moderate): Probability 75-85% (82%). Consider with caution.

Key Statistics

• Probability: 82%
• Total xG: 3.36
• Confidence: None
• H2H Over 1.5: 50%

Analysis Factors

• H2H Average: 1.5 goals per match in the last 2 games
• Home Scoring Strength: Real Madrid scores 2.3 goals per home match
• Away Defensive Weakness: Athletic Club Bilbao concedes 1.7 goals per away match
• Recent Form: Real Madrid won 4 of the last 5 matches
• xG Analysis: Total xG: 3.36 – High goal expectation
• AI Model Prediction: Model predicts over 1.5 goals with 82% probability

Match Statistics

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid (Home)	2.09 xG
Athletic Club Bilbao (Away)	1.27 xG
Total Expected Goals	3.36 xG

Team Form & Statistics

Stat	Real Madrid	Athletic Club Bilbao
Recent Form	LWWWW	LWLWD
Goals Scored Avg	2.3	0.9
Goals Conceded Avg	0.6	1.7

Head-to-Head Record

Total Matches	2
Average Goals	1.5
2+ Goals Rate	50%
3+ Goals Rate	50%
Both Teams Scored Rate	0%

Additional Analysis

3+ Goals Probability	64.6%
Both Teams to Score Probability	67.2%

League Information

Spain La Liga (Spain) – Average goals per match: 1.34, 2+ goals rate: 40.5%

Analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.